Archive for May, 2010

Are We Gold Bug?

May 28th, 2010

Gold

As we saw lately, gold price has been soaring. It is not traded at above $1,200 per ounce. Are we (we = 1stmilliondollar.net) a gold bug? Are we buying gold?

We used to like keeping money in gold. However, we have changed our strategy since last year, i.e. not to invest in gold at all. Why? First of all, we read Warren Buffett’s quote about gold:

[Gold] gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head

Basically he is saying that why invest in something that has no utility. Gold will do nothing for us. This quote keeps us thinking, why we are investing in gold then.

The second reason is because gold is just a currency. The value will never go up or down. It is just our dollar that goes up or down in value. If we can buy a car with 1 bar of gold today; we should be able to buy the same car with 1 bar of gold in 20 years from now. The price of the car might be double or triple; but in terms of value, it is just the same.

As summary, we don’t invest in gold at all these days. However, we invest in some gold companies indirectly through Canadian index. The two largest gold mining companies in the world are Canadian companies; and they are included in Canadian’s S&P/TSX index.

(Picture is from Mykl Roventine @ flickr.)

Let’s Invest with Margin

May 22nd, 2010

Money trap

With the current market pullback recently, some people have got a “margin call”. They have to, either add more money or liquidate their investment (meaning sell in low price).

For those who don’t know, “margin” basically means borrow money from your broker to invest. On the one hand, using a margin can accelerate our return. On the other hand, there is a greater risk when we have market pullback, just what we had recently.

Let’s take an example: suppose that we invest $10,000. Using a 2:1 margin ratio, we can invest up to $20,000. Let’s assume that we invest the whole $20,000.

Scenario 1: Our investment goes up by 50%. Our balance is now $30,000. It means we have a profit of $10,000; so our return of investment is 100%. Remember that our original principal is $10,000.

Scenario 2: Our investment goes down by 50%. Our balance is now $10,000. Since we still “owe” our broker $10,000. we lost all of our principal money. In other words, our return is –100%.

Usually, you won’t be able to lost all of your principal when investing using a margin. Your broker usually will do “margin call” if your margin ratio dropped below a certain level. For example, if your broker allows up to 3:1 margin ratio, once your principal is less than 33% of your total investment; they will call you. :)

Getting a margin call is always not a good experience. Sometimes, we have to sell our investment in a very low price.

(Picture is from stock.xchng.)

S&P 500 Year-to-Date Return –3.9%

May 20th, 2010

S&P 500

Today, we had a little bit of pullback in major market indices all around the world. S&P 500 is down –3.9% today. The return of S&P 500 year-to-date is now –3.9%. It’s not too bad considering we had a pretty nice run last year.

Let’s take a look at the return of major indices around the world:

  • S&P 500: –3.9%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: –3.45%
  • Nasdaq Composite Index: –2.87%
  • S&P/TSX Composite Index: –2.9%
  • Shanghai Composite Index: –21%
  • Hang Seng Index: –10.64%
  • Nikkei 225 Index: –4.89%
  • FTSE 100 Index: –6.28%

So far, North American indices beat other major indices; while emerging market indices seems to be lagging. Will we see another bear market ahead? Nobody knows…

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